Webinar: Energy Price Modeling for Today’s Markets
Date/Time: Thursday, October 22, @12:00 PST
Description: Today’s energy markets are more uncertain than ever, yet an understanding of future prices is essential for both short and long-term portfolio planning and risk management. Fundamental price forecasting techniques can provide a robust view of market evolution but lack a rigorous treatment of risk. Simulation-based approaches enable thorough risk reporting but are often based on historical market trends, making them less suited to long-term forecasting, especially for capturing the seismic shifts in energy resources and demand which are currently underway. Combining these two modeling strategies yields a powerful price modeling framework that can be simultaneously used for asset valuation, risk management, long-term planning, and other portfolio management activities. This webinar will discuss the differences between forecasting and simulation of energy market prices and will outline how these approaches can be effectively combined. Participants will learn:
• The distinction between price forecasting and price simulation
• The benefits of fundamentally-derived forward curves to evaluate long-run value
• Why simulation-based modeling approaches are required for good portfolio analysis
• A practical example comparing portfolio value and risk under these different approaches
By combining a solid fundamental price forecast with a robust simulation model, portfolio managers can arm themselves with an analytical framework for improved decision-making that is flexible enough to address whatever challenges the ever-evolving energy markets may throw their way.
This webinar is for:
Energy procurement managers, risk managers, portfolio managers, renewable/storage managers.
Brock Mosovsky, Director of Operations & Analytics , cQuant.io
Nathan Miller, Senior Consultant, Energy + Environmental Economics (E3)